Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bisons @ Bruins LIP @ BEL

LIPSCOMB

BISONSLIP

1-4  |  Road

68
FINAL
Wed, Nov 19 • 8:30 PM ET
Curb Event Center Arena
View Odds Details →

BELMONT

BRUINSBEL

4-0  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
BISONS
100%
📊
BRUINS
0%
BISONS --
BRUINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BELMONT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Belmont)
BisonsLIP (-3.5) 0 BruinsBEL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bisons Cover

46.0%

Bruins Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BEL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BEL)

LIP By 1-7 points

24.3%

LIP By 8-14 points

13.7%

BEL By 1-7 points

26.2%

BEL By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
79
LIPSCOMB
80
BELMONT
Simulated Score
72
LIPSCOMB
76
BELMONT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bruins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bruins Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bruins (+12.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Bruins (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o158.5 Loss
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim u158.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 19, 2025 LIP @ BEL 68 - 75
Nov 12, 2024 BEL @ LIP 80 - 79
Dec 6, 2023 LIP @ BEL 71 - 72
Nov 14, 2022 BEL @ LIP 75 - 77
Dec 2, 2021 LIP @ BEL 65 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +37.5% more
Belmont: 15.1 vs Lipscomb: 11.0
Field Goal % (L5) +7.1%
Belmont: 49.8% vs Lipscomb: 42.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.4%
Belmont: 33.4% vs Lipscomb: 30.0%
Blocks (L5) +32.5% more
Lipscomb: 4.7 vs Belmont: 3.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LIP Score 79.0 68
BEL Score 80.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.4 / 30.0 29.0 / 29.0
Assists 16.5 / 17.6 14.0 / 16.0
Blocks 3.2 / 4.7 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 49.8 / 42.7 43.0 / 32.0
Free Throw % 62.5 / 82.5 72.0 / 90.0
Rebounding 38.4 / 38.1 43.0 / 42.0
Steals 6.7 / 7.7 6.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 15.1 / 11.0 22.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
27%MONEY73%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
94%MONEY6%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIP
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
BEL Advantage
26-6-0 (81.3%)
Margin: 10.5 ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIP
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
BEL Advantage
17-13-1 (56.7%)
Margin: 10.5 ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LIP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.9
BEL
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7% Total +/-: +4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BEL
LIP
BEL
LIP
ML
47% 15-17
71% 22-9
62% 20-12
66% 19-10
ATS
56% 18-14
71% 22-9
62% 20-12
66% 19-10
TTL
44% 14-18
58% 18-13
100% 32-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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