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JACKSON STATE

TIGERSJKST

0-3  |  Road

66
FINAL
Wed, Nov 19 • 9:00 PM ET
Neville Arena
View Odds Details →

AUBURN

TIGERSAUB

3-1  |  Home

112
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
TIGERS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
130.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-40.0
AUBURN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +40.0 points (Auburn)
TigersJKST (-3.5) 0 TigersAUB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

0.0%

Tigers Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AUB -40.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AUB)

JKST By 1-7 points

0.0%

JKST By 8-14 points

0.0%

AUB By 1-7 points

0.1%

AUB By 8-14 points

0.5%

AI Model Projected Score
45
JACKSON STATE
85
AUBURN
Simulated Score
59
JACKSON STATE
88
AUBURN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -40.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 19, 2025 JKST @ AUB 66 - 112
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +35.8% more
Auburn: 4.6 vs Jackson State: 3.4
Assists (L5) +29.7% more
Auburn: 13.5 vs Jackson State: 10.4
Rebounding (L5) +27.0% more
Auburn: 43.0 vs Jackson State: 33.8
Field Goal % (L5) +8.5%
Auburn: 44.6% vs Jackson State: 36.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JKST Score 45.0 66
AUB Score 85.0 112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.2 / 31.6 41.0 / 33.0
Assists 13.5 / 10.4 28.0 / 6.0
Blocks 4.6 / 3.4 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 44.6 / 36.1 65.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 67.2 / 70.4 79.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 43.0 / 33.8 30.0 / 28.0
Steals 7.6 / 7.6 16.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 9.6 / 12.8 9.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
20%MONEY80%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
48%MONEY52%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JKST
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
AUB Advantage
22-16-0 (57.9%)
Margin: 4.2 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JKST Advantage
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
AUB
15-23-0 (39.5%)
Margin: 4.2 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
JKST
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +4.2
AUB
22-16-0
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +4.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AUB
JKST
AUB
JKST
ML
58% 22-16
77% 24-7
75% 24-8
73% 19-7
ATS
74% 28-10
77% 24-7
75% 24-8
73% 19-7
TTL
53% 20-18
58% 18-13
100% 32-0
100% 26-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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