UC IRVINE
ANTEATERSUCI
3-2 | Road
72
UTAH VALLEY
WOLVERINESUVU
3-2 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
ANTEATERS
0%
WOLVERINES
100%
ANTEATERS
--
WOLVERINES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
115.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
UC IRVINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (UC Irvine)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UCI -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCI)
UCI By 1-7 points
24.3%
UCI By 8-14 points
26.8%
UVU By 1-7 points
12.2%
UVU By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
UC Irvine
62
UC IRVINE
Utah Valley
53
UTAH VALLEY
Simulated Score
UC Irvine
68
UC IRVINE
Utah Valley
72
UTAH VALLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Anteaters
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wolverines
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Anteaters (-2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Wolverines (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 115.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 19, 2025
UCI @ UVU
72 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+31.3% more
UC Irvine: 7.2
vs
Utah Valley: 4.9
Rebounding (L5)
+24.6% more
UC Irvine: 46.2
vs
Utah Valley: 34.9
Assists (L5)
+18.4% more
UC Irvine: 22.1
vs
Utah Valley: 18.1
Turnovers (L5)
+18.8% more
Utah Valley: 14.6
vs
UC Irvine: 12.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UCI Score
62.0
72
UVU Score
53.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.2 / 30.6
43.0 / 29.0
Assists
18.1 / 22.1
19.0 / 15.0
Blocks
4.9 / 7.2
8.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
52.2 / 50.1
52.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
70.3 / 67.2
44.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
34.9 / 46.2
43.0 / 35.0
Steals
9.2 / 8.6
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.6 / 12.3
11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCI
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
UVU
Advantage
25-9-0
(73.5%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCI
Advantage
16-16-1
(50.0%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
UVU
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UCI
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6%
Total +/-: -2.8
UVU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UVU
UCI
UVU
UCI
ML
56%
18-14
57%
20-15
72%
23-9
53%
18-16
ATS
53%
17-15
63%
22-13
74%
25-9
53%
18-16
TTL
44%
14-18
57%
20-15
100%
34-0
100%
34-0
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