Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Fighting Hawks @ Bluejays UND @ CREI

NORTH DAKOTA

FIGHTING HAWKSUND

2-4  |  Road

60
FINAL
Wed, Nov 19 • 8:00 PM ET
CHI Health Center Omaha
View Odds Details →

CREIGHTON

BLUEJAYSCREI

3-1  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
FIGHTING HAWKS
100%
📊
BLUEJAYS
0%
FIGHTING HAWKS --
BLUEJAYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-35.0
CREIGHTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +35.0 points (Creighton)
Fighting HawksUND (-3.5) 0 BluejaysCREI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Fighting Hawks Cover

0.0%

Bluejays Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CREI -35.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CREI)

UND By 1-7 points

0.0%

UND By 8-14 points

0.0%

CREI By 1-7 points

0.3%

CREI By 8-14 points

1.7%

AI Model Projected Score
60
NORTH DAKOTA
95
CREIGHTON
Simulated Score
62
NORTH DAKOTA
88
CREIGHTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bluejays Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bluejays Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bluejays (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -35.0
D
Sim Bluejays (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 19, 2025 UND @ CREI 60 - 75
Nov 10, 2022 UND @ CREI 61 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +22.1% more
Creighton: 17.4 vs North Dakota: 14.2
Turnovers (L5) +9.7% more
Creighton: 11.9 vs North Dakota: 10.9
Free Throw % (L5) +6.0%
Creighton: 71.1% vs North Dakota: 65.1%
Steals (L5) +46.9% more
North Dakota: 13.0 vs Creighton: 6.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UND Score 60.0 60
CREI Score 95.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.3 / 37.0 21.0 / 33.0
Assists 17.4 / 14.2 16.0 / 8.0
Blocks 1.8 / 3.1 5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 46.6 / 48.8 41.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 71.1 / 65.1 60.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 38.1 / 35.6 50.0 / 30.0
Steals 6.9 / 13.0 6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.9 / 10.9 11.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
3%MONEY97%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
55%MONEY45%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
43%MONEY57%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UND Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: +1.5
CREI
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UND Advantage
21-11-0 (65.6%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: +1.5
CREI
11-22-1 (33.3%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UND
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: +1.3
CREI
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9% Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CREI
UND
CREI
UND
ML
52% 17-16
44% 15-19
70% 21-9
50% 17-17
ATS
58% 19-14
50% 17-17
70% 21-9
50% 17-17
TTL
52% 17-16
65% 22-12
100% 30-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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