Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Fighting Camels @ Wildcats CAM @ WEB

CAMPBELL

FIGHTING CAMELSCAM

2-2  |  Road

85
FINAL
Wed, Nov 19 • 10:00 PM ET
Dee Events Center
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WEBER STATE

WILDCATSWEB

1-3  |  Home

91
AI Model Win Probability
FIGHTING CAMELS
100%
📊
WILDCATS
0%
FIGHTING CAMELS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
121.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
WEBER STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Weber State)
Fighting CamelsCAM (-3.5) 0 WildcatsWEB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Fighting Camels Cover

6.7%

Wildcats Cover

93.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WEB -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WEB)

CAM By 1-7 points

4.8%

CAM By 8-14 points

1.1%

WEB By 1-7 points

15.3%

WEB By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
53
CAMPBELL
68
WEBER STATE
Simulated Score
73
CAMPBELL
78
WEBER STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 121.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 19, 2025 CAM @ WEB 85 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +68.4% more
Campbell: 4.0 vs Weber State: 1.3
Turnovers (L5) +12.1% more
Campbell: 14.1 vs Weber State: 12.4
Field Goal % (L5) +5.5%
Campbell: 46.1% vs Weber State: 40.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.6%
Campbell: 30.8% vs Weber State: 27.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAM Score 53.0 85
WEB Score 68.0 91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.2 / 30.8 33.0 / 19.0
Assists 12.9 / 13.4 19.0 / 10.0
Blocks 1.3 / 4.0 0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 40.6 / 46.1 55.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 73.0 / 75.4 65.0 / 90.0
Rebounding 43.7 / 41.0 33.0 / 33.0
Steals 7.6 / 8.0 7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 12.4 / 14.1 12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
29%MONEY71%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
22%MONEY78%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAM
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
WEB Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAM Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
WEB
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CAM
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +2.5
WEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WEB
CAM
WEB
CAM
ML
73% 22-8
65% 22-12
73% 22-8
71% 24-10
ATS
63% 19-11
67% 22-11-1
74% 23-8
71% 24-10
TTL
83% 25-5
53% 18-16
100% 31-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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