UTAH
MAMMOTHUTA
10-7-2 | Road
2
SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
8-8-3 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Mikhail Sergachev
#98 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Yaroslav Askarov
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikhail Sergachev | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Yaroslav Askarov | None-None | 1.91 | 0.923 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.91
--
Save %
0.923
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAMMOTH
100%
SHARKS
0%
MAMMOTH
--
SHARKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SAN JOSE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (San Jose)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around SJ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SJ)
UTA By 1 goal
12.1%
UTA By 2-3 goals
9.3%
SJ By 1 goal
19.7%
SJ By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
3
UTAH
San Jose
4
SAN JOSE
Simulated Score
Utah
2
UTAH
San Jose
3
SAN JOSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sharks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sharks
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sharks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Sharks (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 1, 2025
UTA @ SJ
3 - 6
Nov 18, 2025
UTA @ SJ
2 - 3
Oct 17, 2025
SJ @ UTA
3 - 6
Jan 10, 2025
SJ @ UTA
1 - 2
Dec 14, 2024
UTA @ SJ
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+19.1% more
San Jose: 18.8
vs
Utah: 15.8
Blocked Shots (L5)
+9.2% more
San Jose: 15.0
vs
Utah: 13.8
Power Play % (L5)
+7.9%
San Jose: 12.8%
vs
Utah: 4.9%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+16.5% more
Utah: 26.7
vs
San Jose: 22.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTA Score
3.0
2
SJ Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.0 / 13.8
17.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
46.9 / 49.5
55.0 / 45.0
Hits
18.8 / 15.8
22.0 / 13.0
Power Play %
12.8 / 4.9
20.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
22.3 / 26.7
22.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
3.9 / 4.5
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJ
UTA
SJ
UTA
ML
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
75%
3-1
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
TTL
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
Contextual Game News
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