Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Blue Hose @ Golden Bears PRES @ CAL

PRESBYTERIAN

BLUE HOSEPRES

3-3  |  Road

57
FINAL
Tue, Nov 18 • 10:00 PM ET
Haas Pavilion
View Odds Details →

CALIFORNIA

GOLDEN BEARSCAL

3-1  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE HOSE
100%
📊
GOLDEN BEARS
0%
BLUE HOSE --
GOLDEN BEARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
99.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
CALIFORNIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (California)
Blue HosePRES (-3.5) 0 Golden BearsCAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blue Hose Cover

0.3%

Golden Bears Cover

99.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CAL -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAL)

PRES By 1-7 points

0.3%

PRES By 8-14 points

0.0%

CAL By 1-7 points

2.2%

CAL By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
36
PRESBYTERIAN
63
CALIFORNIA
Simulated Score
61
PRESBYTERIAN
78
CALIFORNIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Bears Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Bears Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Bears (+19.5) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim Golden Bears (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 99.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 18, 2025 PRES @ CAL 57 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +55.8% more
California: 3.9 vs Presbyterian: 2.5
Assists (L5) +24.8% more
California: 16.3 vs Presbyterian: 13.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +16.6%
California: 37.4% vs Presbyterian: 20.9%
Free Throw % (L5) +14.5%
California: 80.1% vs Presbyterian: 65.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PRES Score 36.0 57
CAL Score 63.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.4 / 20.9 35.0 / 35.0
Assists 16.3 / 13.0 11.0 / 14.0
Blocks 3.9 / 2.5 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 47.9 / 42.8 51.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 80.1 / 65.6 56.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 36.5 / 34.7 30.0 / 34.0
Steals 7.4 / 6.7 2.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 12.8 / 12.1 11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
23%MONEY77%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
79%MONEY21%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
45%MONEY55%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRES
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: +0.7
CAL Advantage
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRES Advantage
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: +0.7
CAL
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PRES
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +0.7
CAL
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAL
PRES
CAL
PRES
ML
61% 20-13
69% 22-10
77% 24-7
80% 24-6
ATS
64% 21-12
59% 19-13
78% 25-7
80% 24-6
TTL
70% 23-10
59% 19-13
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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