Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Thunderbirds @ Cougars SUU @ WSU

SOUTHERN UTAH

THUNDERBIRDSSUU

1-4  |  Road

74
FINAL
Wed, Nov 19 • 11:00 PM ET
Beasley Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON STATE

COUGARSWSU

1-3  |  Home

98
AI Model Win Probability
THUNDERBIRDS
100%
📊
COUGARS
0%
THUNDERBIRDS --
COUGARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
172.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-50.0
WASHINGTON STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +50.0 points (Washington State)
ThunderbirdsSUU (-3.5) 0 CougarsWSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Thunderbirds Cover

0.0%

Cougars Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WSU -50.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSU)

SUU By 1-7 points

0.0%

SUU By 8-14 points

0.0%

WSU By 1-7 points

0.0%

WSU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
61
SOUTHERN UTAH
111
WASHINGTON STATE
Simulated Score
60
SOUTHERN UTAH
75
WASHINGTON STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cougars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cougars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cougars (+12) Win
Proj Spread: -50.0
D
Sim Cougars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o156.5 Win
Proj Total: 172.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 19, 2025 SUU @ WSU 74 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +9.6%
Washington State: 80.5% vs Southern Utah: 70.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.6%
Washington State: 31.3% vs Southern Utah: 23.7%
Field Goal % (L5) +5.0%
Washington State: 45.7% vs Southern Utah: 40.7%
Turnovers (L5) +33.7% more
Southern Utah: 16.7 vs Washington State: 11.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SUU Score 61.0 74
WSU Score 111.0 98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.3 / 23.7 36.0 / 40.0
Assists 13.0 / 13.6 16.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.2 / 4.5 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.7 / 40.7 57.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 80.5 / 70.9 69.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 33.4 / 36.7 36.0 / 26.0
Steals 5.5 / 6.4 7.0 / 1.0
Turnovers 11.0 / 16.7 7.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
36%MONEY64%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
53%MONEY47%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SUU
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: 0.0
WSU Advantage
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SUU Advantage
14-14-1 (50.0%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: 0.0
WSU
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SUU
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4% Total +/-: +3.5
WSU
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSU
SUU
WSU
SUU
ML
78% 25-7
61% 19-12
69% 20-9
68% 21-10
ATS
78% 25-7
71% 22-9
69% 20-9
69% 22-10
TTL
62% 20-12
52% 16-15
100% 29-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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