Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Scarlet Knights AMER @ RUTG

AMERICAN UNIVERSITY

EAGLESAMER

2-2  |  Road

71
FINAL
Tue, Nov 18 • 6:30 PM ET
Jersey Mike’s Arena
View Odds Details →

RUTGERS

SCARLET KNIGHTSRUTG

3-0  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
SCARLET KNIGHTS
0%
EAGLES --
SCARLET KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
RUTGERS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Rutgers)
EaglesAMER (-3.5) 0 Scarlet KnightsRUTG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

1.4%

Scarlet Knights Cover

98.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RUTG -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RUTG)

AMER By 1-7 points

1.1%

AMER By 8-14 points

0.1%

RUTG By 1-7 points

5.8%

RUTG By 8-14 points

15.3%

AI Model Projected Score
58
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
80
RUTGERS
Simulated Score
55
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
72
RUTGERS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Scarlet Knights Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Scarlet Knights Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Scarlet Knights (+16.5) Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim Scarlet Knights (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u143.5 Loss
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 18, 2025 AMER @ RUTG 71 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +45.2% more
Rutgers: 4.3 vs American University: 2.9
Free Throw % (L5) +1.8%
Rutgers: 68.0% vs American University: 66.2%
Turnovers (L5) +26.1% more
American University: 14.5 vs Rutgers: 10.7
Steals (L5) +24.9% more
American University: 10.0 vs Rutgers: 7.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
AMER Score 58.0 71
RUTG Score 80.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.8 / 29.7 40.0 / 38.0
Assists 13.9 / 17.1 12.0 / 13.0
Blocks 4.3 / 2.9 6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 46.1 / 49.1 47.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 68.0 / 66.2 80.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 40.2 / 37.4 42.0 / 32.0
Steals 7.5 / 10.0 1.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 14.5 11.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
7%MONEY93%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
36%MONEY64%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AMER Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
RUTG
14-20-0 (41.2%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AMER Advantage
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
RUTG
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
AMER
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.2
RUTG
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2% Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RUTG
AMER
RUTG
AMER
ML
53% 18-16
62% 20-12
70% 23-10
62% 20-12
ATS
68% 23-11
59% 19-13
70% 23-10
62% 20-12
TTL
53% 18-16
59% 19-13
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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