Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Crusaders @ Bears HC @ BRWN

HOLY CROSS

CRUSADERSHC

1-3  |  Road

49
FINAL
Tue, Nov 18 • 7:00 PM ET
Pizzitola Sports Center
View Odds Details →

BROWN

BEARSBRWN

0-4  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
CRUSADERS
100%
📊
BEARS
0%
CRUSADERS --
BEARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
BROWN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Brown)
CrusadersHC (-3.5) 0 BearsBRWN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Crusaders Cover

13.6%

Bears Cover

86.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BRWN -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRWN)

HC By 1-7 points

9.3%

HC By 8-14 points

2.7%

BRWN By 1-7 points

21.6%

BRWN By 8-14 points

27.4%

AI Model Projected Score
67
HOLY CROSS
78
BROWN
Simulated Score
68
HOLY CROSS
72
BROWN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bears Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bears Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bears (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Bears (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 18, 2025 HC @ BRWN 49 - 68
Nov 16, 2024 HC @ BRWN 73 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +548.6% more
Brown: 7.2 vs Holy Cross: 1.1
Assists (L5) +43.0% more
Brown: 15.1 vs Holy Cross: 10.6
Turnovers (L5) +18.1% more
Brown: 14.1 vs Holy Cross: 11.9
Free Throw % (L5) +5.3%
Holy Cross: 70.9% vs Brown: 65.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HC Score 67.0 49
BRWN Score 78.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.3 / 33.4 33.0 / 32.0
Assists 15.1 / 10.6 14.0 / 8.0
Blocks 7.2 / 1.1 6.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 44.7 / 45.2 48.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 65.6 / 70.9 82.0 / 45.0
Rebounding 31.2 / 29.0 37.0 / 29.0
Steals 5.9 / 6.2 8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 14.1 / 11.9 12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
30%MONEY70%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
41%MONEY59%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HC
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
BRWN
9-18-0 (33.3%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HC
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
BRWN Advantage
14-12-0 (53.8%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.3
BRWN
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRWN
HC
BRWN
HC
ML
56% 15-12
52% 16-15
67% 18-9
61% 19-12
ATS
59% 16-11
55% 17-14
67% 18-9
64% 21-12
TTL
59% 16-11
58% 18-13
100% 27-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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