BOSTON UNIVERSITY
TERRIERSBU
2-3 | Road
49
COLUMBIA
LIONSCOLU
3-1 | Home
54
AI Model Win Probability
TERRIERS
0%
LIONS
100%
TERRIERS
--
LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Boston University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BU -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BU)
BU By 1-7 points
16.9%
BU By 8-14 points
26.2%
COLU By 1-7 points
5.8%
COLU By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston University
84
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Columbia
70
COLUMBIA
Simulated Score
Boston University
68
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Columbia
72
COLUMBIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Terriers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lions
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Terriers (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Lions (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Loss
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 18, 2025
BU @ COLU
49 - 54
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+12.4% more
Boston University: 16.3
vs
Columbia: 14.3
Steals (L5)
+9.9% more
Boston University: 5.8
vs
Columbia: 5.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.0%
Boston University: 40.6%
vs
Columbia: 34.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
Boston University: 48.8%
vs
Columbia: 45.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BU Score
84.0
49
COLU Score
70.0
54
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.6 / 40.6
33.0 / 11.0
Assists
14.3 / 16.3
15.0 / 7.0
Blocks
2.9 / 2.7
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 48.8
39.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
70.2 / 72.7
78.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
39.4 / 30.9
42.0 / 35.0
Steals
5.2 / 5.8
3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.0 / 12.5
13.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BU
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.2
COLU
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BU
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.2
COLU
13-13-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BU
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +8.4
COLU
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLU
BU
COLU
BU
ML
44%
12-15
68%
23-11
56%
15-12
62%
21-13
ATS
59%
16-11
62%
21-13
56%
15-12
62%
21-13
TTL
74%
20-7
65%
22-12
100%
27-0
100%
34-0
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