Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Braves @ Tigers ALCN @ LSU

ALCORN STATE

BRAVESALCN

0-5  |  Road

81
FINAL
Tue, Nov 18 • 8:00 PM ET
Pete Maravich Assembly Center
View Odds Details →

LSU

TIGERSLSU

3-0  |  Home

107
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
BRAVES --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
LSU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (LSU)
BravesALCN (-3.5) 0 TigersLSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Braves Cover

0.5%

Tigers Cover

99.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LSU -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LSU)

ALCN By 1-7 points

0.4%

ALCN By 8-14 points

0.0%

LSU By 1-7 points

2.7%

LSU By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
61
ALCORN STATE
87
LSU
Simulated Score
62
ALCORN STATE
88
LSU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 18, 2025 ALCN @ LSU 81 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +65.5% more
LSU: 41.7 vs Alcorn State: 25.2
Assists (L5) +45.3% more
LSU: 14.8 vs Alcorn State: 10.2
Blocks (L5) +18.6% more
LSU: 4.3 vs Alcorn State: 3.7
Field Goal % (L5) +7.5%
LSU: 49.5% vs Alcorn State: 42.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ALCN Score 61.0 81
LSU Score 87.0 107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.5 / 34.1 29.0 / 38.0
Assists 14.8 / 10.2 12.0 / 11.0
Blocks 4.3 / 3.7 2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 49.5 / 42.1 56.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 75.7 / 72.1 79.0 / 45.0
Rebounding 41.7 / 25.2 43.0 / 28.0
Steals 5.8 / 8.2 8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.4 / 15.3 11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
2%MONEY98%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
18%MONEY82%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
89%MONEY11%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ALCN Advantage
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -13.3 ATS +/-: -0.8
LSU
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ALCN Advantage
17-14-1 (54.8%)
Margin: -13.3 ATS +/-: -0.8
LSU
--
⚖️ Over/Under
ALCN
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.5
LSU
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LSU
ALCN
LSU
ALCN
ML
62% 20-12
66% 21-11
62% 20-12
75% 18-6
ATS
66% 21-11
68% 21-10-1
62% 20-12
75% 18-6
TTL
72% 23-9
47% 15-17
100% 32-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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