GOLDEN STATE
WARRIORSGS
9-6 | Road
113
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
7-7 | Home
121
AI Model Win Probability
WARRIORS
100%
MAGIC
0%
WARRIORS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
201.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
GS By 1-7 points
0.8%
GS By 8-14 points
0.1%
ORL By 1-7 points
4.8%
ORL By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Golden State
89
GOLDEN STATE
Orlando
112
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Golden State
109
GOLDEN STATE
Orlando
120
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Magic
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Magic (+3)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim
Magic (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u224.0
Loss
Proj Total: 201.0
D
Sim
u224.0
Win
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 22, 2025
ORL @ GS
97 - 120
Nov 18, 2025
GS @ ORL
113 - 121
Feb 27, 2025
GS @ ORL
121 - 115
Feb 3, 2025
ORL @ GS
99 - 104
Mar 27, 2024
GS @ ORL
101 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+27.1% more
Orlando: 6.2
vs
Golden State: 4.9
Steals (L5)
+32.8% more
Golden State: 11.7
vs
Orlando: 7.9
Turnovers (L5)
+23.2% more
Golden State: 17.2
vs
Orlando: 13.2
Assists (L5)
+15.0% more
Golden State: 26.7
vs
Orlando: 22.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GS Score
89.0
113
ORL Score
112.0
121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 38.4
25.0 / 36.0
Assists
22.7 / 26.7
28.0 / 26.0
Blocks
6.2 / 4.9
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.2 / 44.1
51.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
79.2 / 82.1
93.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
42.4 / 41.7
43.0 / 36.0
Steals
7.9 / 11.7
14.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 17.2
14.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GS
38-46-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GS
36-48-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
ORL
Advantage
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
GS
ORL
GS
ML
61%
65-42
55%
95-79
56%
51-40
58%
49-35
ATS
64%
68-38-1
58%
101-73
56%
51-40
58%
49-35
TTL
57%
61-46
77%
134-40
100%
91-0
100%
84-0
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