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SAINT PETER'S

PEACOCKSSPU

1-3  |  Road

70
FINAL
Tue, Nov 18 • 7:00 PM ET
Bob Carpenter Center
View Odds Details →

DELAWARE

BLUE HENSDEL

1-3  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
PEACOCKS
100%
📊
BLUE HENS
0%
PEACOCKS --
BLUE HENS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
DELAWARE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Delaware)
PeacocksSPU (-3.5) 0 Blue HensDEL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Peacocks Cover

42.1%

Blue Hens Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DEL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEL)

SPU By 1-7 points

23.0%

SPU By 8-14 points

12.2%

DEL By 1-7 points

26.8%

DEL By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
69
SAINT PETER'S
71
DELAWARE
Simulated Score
68
SAINT PETER'S
72
DELAWARE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blue Hens Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Hens Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blue Hens (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Blue Hens (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o138.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u138.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 18, 2025 SPU @ DEL 70 - 81
Dec 20, 2024 DEL @ SPU 64 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5) +6.5%
Delaware: 42.8% vs Saint Peter's: 36.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.6%
Delaware: 35.2% vs Saint Peter's: 29.5%
Steals (L5) +30.8% more
Saint Peter's: 8.8 vs Delaware: 6.1
Turnovers (L5) +21.9% more
Saint Peter's: 12.6 vs Delaware: 9.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SPU Score 69.0 70
DEL Score 71.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.2 / 29.5 52.0 / 38.0
Assists 11.4 / 10.6 18.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.7 / 3.5 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 42.8 / 36.3 54.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 77.0 / 81.5 70.0 / 100.0
Rebounding 32.3 / 35.7 38.0 / 26.0
Steals 6.1 / 8.8 7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 9.8 / 12.6 14.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
47%MONEY53%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
53%MONEY47%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
20%MONEY80%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SPU Advantage
17-12-0 (58.6%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
DEL
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -6.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SPU Advantage
16-11-1 (59.3%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
DEL
15-14-1 (51.7%)
Margin: -6.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SPU
10-18-0
O: 35.7% / U: 64.3% Total +/-: -0.2
DEL
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEL
SPU
DEL
SPU
ML
45% 14-17
64% 18-10
52% 16-15
71% 20-8
ATS
61% 19-12
71% 20-8
52% 16-15
71% 20-8
TTL
65% 20-11
61% 17-11
100% 31-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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