PRINCETON
TIGERSPRIN
2-3 | Road
69
IONA
GAELSIONA
4-0 | Home
89
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
GAELS
100%
TIGERS
--
GAELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
IONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around IONA +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IONA)
PRIN By 1-7 points
27.2%
PRIN By 8-14 points
20.1%
IONA By 1-7 points
21.6%
IONA By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Princeton
82
PRINCETON
Iona
79
IONA
Simulated Score
Princeton
68
PRINCETON
Iona
73
IONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Gaels
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Gaels (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim
Gaels (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o154.5
Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 18, 2025
PRIN @ IONA
69 - 89
Nov 4, 2024
IONA @ PRIN
80 - 81
Dec 13, 2022
PRIN @ IONA
64 - 70
Dec 17, 2019
IONA @ PRIN
86 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.2%
Princeton: 75.3%
vs
Iona: 63.1%
Blocks (L5)
+49.0% more
Iona: 3.0
vs
Princeton: 2.0
Assists (L5)
+11.2% more
Iona: 16.3
vs
Princeton: 14.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.7%
Iona: 48.6%
vs
Princeton: 39.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PRIN Score
82.0
69
IONA Score
79.0
89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.4 / 33.5
34.0 / 17.0
Assists
16.3 / 14.6
17.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.0 / 2.0
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
48.6 / 39.9
50.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
63.1 / 75.3
78.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
34.7 / 37.1
39.0 / 37.0
Steals
6.4 / 6.6
12.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.4 / 11.5
12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRIN
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
IONA
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRIN
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
IONA
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
PRIN
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6%
Total +/-: -2.4
IONA
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IONA
PRIN
IONA
PRIN
ML
41%
13-19
45%
13-16
62%
20-12
62%
18-11
ATS
53%
17-15
48%
14-15
62%
20-12
62%
18-11
TTL
66%
21-11
72%
21-8
100%
32-0
100%
29-0
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