Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Ragin' Cajuns @ Cardinal UL @ STAN

LOUISIANA

RAGIN' CAJUNSUL

1-4  |  Road

66
FINAL
Tue, Nov 18 • 10:00 PM ET
Maples Pavilion
View Odds Details →

STANFORD

CARDINALSTAN

4-0  |  Home

93
AI Model Win Probability
RAGIN' CAJUNS
100%
📊
CARDINAL
0%
RAGIN' CAJUNS --
CARDINAL --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
STANFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Stanford)
Ragin' CajunsUL (-3.5) 0 CardinalSTAN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ragin' Cajuns Cover

9.7%

Cardinal Cover

90.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around STAN -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STAN)

UL By 1-7 points

6.8%

UL By 8-14 points

1.7%

STAN By 1-7 points

18.6%

STAN By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
57
LOUISIANA
70
STANFORD
Simulated Score
68
LOUISIANA
75
STANFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cardinal Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cardinal Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cardinal (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Cardinal (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 18, 2025 UL @ STAN 66 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +91.1% more
Stanford: 4.9 vs Louisiana: 2.6
Assists (L5) +57.3% more
Stanford: 12.9 vs Louisiana: 8.2
Steals (L5) +53.6% more
Stanford: 8.0 vs Louisiana: 5.2
Rebounding (L5) +19.3% more
Stanford: 37.0 vs Louisiana: 31.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UL Score 57.0 66
STAN Score 70.0 93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.4 / 29.2 35.0 / 22.0
Assists 12.9 / 8.2 14.0 / 4.0
Blocks 4.9 / 2.6 2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 45.4 / 38.3 48.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 74.4 / 67.2 80.0 / 59.0
Rebounding 37.0 / 31.0 38.0 / 27.0
Steals 8.0 / 5.2 4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 12.4 10.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
19%MONEY81%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
86%MONEY14%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UL
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -0.8
STAN Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UL
14-18-1 (43.8%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -0.8
STAN Advantage
16-16-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UL
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -0.3
STAN
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STAN
UL
STAN
UL
ML
48% 16-17
66% 21-11
50% 16-16
63% 19-11
ATS
48% 16-17
66% 21-11
50% 16-16
63% 19-11
TTL
55% 18-15
62% 20-12
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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