Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bengals @ Broncos IDST @ SCU

IDAHO STATE

BENGALSIDST

2-2  |  Road

55
FINAL
Tue, Nov 18 • 10:00 PM ET
Leavey Center
View Odds Details →

SANTA CLARA

BRONCOSSCU

4-0  |  Home

64
AI Model Win Probability
BENGALS
100%
📊
BRONCOS
0%
BENGALS --
BRONCOS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
172.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
SANTA CLARA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (Santa Clara)
BengalsIDST (-3.5) 0 BroncosSCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bengals Cover

0.5%

Broncos Cover

99.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SCU -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SCU)

IDST By 1-7 points

0.4%

IDST By 8-14 points

0.0%

SCU By 1-7 points

2.7%

SCU By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
73
IDAHO STATE
99
SANTA CLARA
Simulated Score
65
IDAHO STATE
78
SANTA CLARA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Broncos Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Broncos Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Broncos (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim Broncos (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 172.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 18, 2025 IDST @ SCU 55 - 64
Nov 25, 2020 IDST @ SCU 49 - 62
Nov 22, 2019 IDST @ SCU 65 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +249.8% more
Santa Clara: 7.7 vs Idaho State: 2.2
Assists (L5) +68.8% more
Santa Clara: 21.9 vs Idaho State: 13.0
Steals (L5) +25.7% more
Santa Clara: 8.1 vs Idaho State: 6.5
Rebounding (L5) +19.8% more
Santa Clara: 39.0 vs Idaho State: 32.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IDST Score 73.0 55
SCU Score 99.0 64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.5 / 31.4 15.0 / 25.0
Assists 21.9 / 13.0 13.0 / 13.0
Blocks 7.7 / 2.2 2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 53.2 / 44.4 35.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 64.0 / 71.3 70.0 / 72.0
Rebounding 39.0 / 32.6 43.0 / 32.0
Steals 8.1 / 6.5 12.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 12.5 8.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
6%MONEY94%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
35%MONEY65%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
38%MONEY62%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IDST
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -2.5
SCU Advantage
26-9-0 (74.3%)
Margin: 10.0 ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IDST
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -2.5
SCU Advantage
17-16-1 (51.5%)
Margin: 10.0 ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
IDST
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +5.4
SCU
20-13-1
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SCU
IDST
SCU
IDST
ML
44% 15-19
59% 19-13
73% 22-8
72% 23-9
ATS
53% 18-16
50% 16-16
74% 23-8
72% 23-9
TTL
47% 16-18
59% 19-13
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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