Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Delaware @ Wake Forest DEL @ WAKE

DELAWARE

DELAWAREDEL

5-5  |  Road

14
FINAL
Sat, Nov 22 • 12:00 PM ET
Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
View Odds Details →

WAKE FOREST

WAKE FORESTWAKE

7-3  |  Home

52
Key Game
Jamarion Kolagbodi
KEY GAME

Jamarion Kolagbodi

#18 | Cornerback
@
Connor Calvert
KEY GAME

Connor Calvert

#90 | Place kicker
Player
Jamarion Kolagbodi None-None
Connor Calvert None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
DELAWARE
100%
📊
WAKE FOREST
0%
DELAWARE --
WAKE FOREST --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
WAKE FOREST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Wake Forest)
DelawareDEL (-3.5) 0 Wake ForestWAKE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Delaware Cover

41.5%

Wake Forest Cover

58.5%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around WAKE -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WAKE)

DEL By 1-6 points

15.3%

DEL By 7-13 points

12.9%

WAKE By 1-6 points

17.0%

WAKE By 7-13 points

17.5%

AI Model Projected Score
0
DELAWARE
3
WAKE FOREST
Simulated Score
13
DELAWARE
49
WAKE FOREST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wake Forest Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Wake Forest Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wake Forest (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Sim Wake Forest (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 62.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 22, 2025 DEL @ WAKE 14 - 52
Sep 17, 2016 DEL @ WAKE 21 - 38
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +70.8% more
Wake Forest: 157.2 vs Delaware: 92.0
Turnovers (L5) +38.8% more
Delaware: 2.1 vs Wake Forest: 1.3
First Downs (L5) +25.6% more
Delaware: 22.9 vs Wake Forest: 17.0
Total Yards (L5) +20.0% more
Delaware: 412.5 vs Wake Forest: 330.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DEL Score 0.0 14
WAKE Score 3.0 52
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 17.0 / 22.9 21.0 / 19.0
Rushing Yards 157.2 / 92.0 263.0 / 67.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.5 / 0.44
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.45 / 0.55
Total Yards 330.0 / 412.5 577.0 / 300.0
Turnovers 1.3 / 2.1 2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
39%MONEY61%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
33%MONEY67%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
13%MONEY87%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEL
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.8
WAKE Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 13.6 ATS +/-: +10.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEL
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.8
WAKE
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 13.6 ATS +/-: +10.9
⚖️ Over/Under
DEL
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -7.3
WAKE
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WAKE
DEL
WAKE
DEL
ML
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
ATS
80% 4-1
40% 2-3
80% 4-1
40% 2-3
TTL
80% 4-1
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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