Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Tulane @ Temple TULN @ TEM

TULANE

TULANETULN

8-2  |  Road

37
FINAL
Sat, Nov 22 • 3:45 PM ET
Lincoln Financial Field
View Odds Details →

TEMPLE

TEMPLETEM

5-5  |  Home

13
Key Game
Oliver Mitchell Jr.
KEY GAME

Oliver Mitchell Jr.

#17 | Wide Receiver
@
Dante Atton
KEY GAME

Dante Atton

#7 | Punter
Player
Oliver Mitchell Jr. None-None
Dante Atton None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
TULANE
0%
📊
TEMPLE
100%
TULANE --
TEMPLE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
61.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
TULANE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Tulane)
TulaneTULN (-3.5) 0 TempleTEM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tulane Cover

69.1%

Temple Cover

30.9%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around TULN -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TULN)

TULN By 1-6 points

16.5%

TULN By 7-13 points

19.3%

TEM By 1-6 points

12.9%

TEM By 7-13 points

9.6%

AI Model Projected Score
34
TULANE
27
TEMPLE
Simulated Score
31
TULANE
17
TEMPLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tulane Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Tulane Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tulane (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Sim Tulane (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 61.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 48.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 22, 2025 TULN @ TEM 37 - 13
Nov 9, 2024 TEM @ TULN 6 - 52
Oct 31, 2020 TEM @ TULN 3 - 38
Nov 16, 2019 TULN @ TEM 21 - 29
Nov 19, 2016 TEM @ TULN 31 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +74.0% more
Tulane: 1.2 vs Temple: 0.3
Total Yards (L5) +23.5% more
Tulane: 420.3 vs Temple: 321.4
First Downs (L5) +19.9% more
Tulane: 20.9 vs Temple: 16.8
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +16.0% more
Tulane: 0.4 vs Temple: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TULN Score 34.0 37
TEM Score 27.0 13
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 16.8 / 20.9 14.0 / 22.0
Rushing Yards 129.3 / 146.1 20.0 / 175.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.4 0.33 / 0.25
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.43 / 0.57
Total Yards 321.4 / 420.3 204.0 / 406.0
Turnovers 0.3 / 1.2 1.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
96%TICKETS4%
80%MONEY20%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
89%MONEY11%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TULN Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -4.1
TEM
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +5.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TULN
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -4.1
TEM Advantage
4-0-1 (100.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +5.8
⚖️ Over/Under
TULN
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -8.5
TEM
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEM
TULN
TEM
TULN
ML
80% 4-1
100% 4-0
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
ATS
40% 2-3
75% 3-1
40% 2-3
75% 3-1
TTL
40% 2-3
75% 3-1
20% 1-4
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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