BUCKNELL
BISONBUCK
2-2 | Road
50
PITTSBURGH
PANTHERSPITT
3-1 | Home
84
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
100%
PANTHERS
0%
BISON
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Pittsburgh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PITT -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PITT)
BUCK By 1-7 points
4.0%
BUCK By 8-14 points
0.8%
PITT By 1-7 points
13.7%
PITT By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Bucknell
73
BUCKNELL
Pittsburgh
89
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
Bucknell
60
BUCKNELL
Pittsburgh
78
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 17, 2025
BUCK @ PITT
50 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+81.8% more
Pittsburgh: 4.6
vs
Bucknell: 2.5
Assists (L5)
+12.0% more
Pittsburgh: 13.1
vs
Bucknell: 11.7
Steals (L5)
+20.9% more
Bucknell: 6.8
vs
Pittsburgh: 5.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.0%
Bucknell: 75.9%
vs
Pittsburgh: 67.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUCK Score
73.0
50
PITT Score
89.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.9 / 34.3
52.0 / 29.0
Assists
13.1 / 11.7
20.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.6 / 2.5
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.4 / 43.8
51.0 / 28.0
Free Throw %
67.9 / 75.9
64.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
36.9 / 34.4
42.0 / 29.0
Steals
5.4 / 6.8
10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 12.6
13.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BUCK
10-23-0
(30.3%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
PITT
Advantage
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -1.3
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BUCK
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
PITT
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: -1.3
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
BUCK
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: +1.3
PITT
17-15-1
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PITT
BUCK
PITT
BUCK
ML
58%
19-14
55%
18-15
45%
15-18
64%
21-12
ATS
64%
21-12
45%
15-18
45%
15-18
64%
21-12
TTL
61%
20-13
61%
20-13
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
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