DRAKE
BULLDOGSDRKE
2-2 | Road
71
CHARLESTON
COUGARSCOFC
2-2 | Home
62
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
0%
COUGARS
100%
BULLDOGS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-36.0
DRAKE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +36.0 points (Drake)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DRKE -36.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DRKE)
DRKE By 1-7 points
0.2%
DRKE By 8-14 points
1.4%
COFC By 1-7 points
0.0%
COFC By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Drake
86
DRAKE
Charleston
50
CHARLESTON
Simulated Score
Drake
71
DRAKE
Charleston
78
CHARLESTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs (+7)
Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 17, 2025
DRKE @ COFC
71 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+32.4% more
Drake: 8.0
vs
Charleston: 5.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.5%
Drake: 32.2%
vs
Charleston: 27.7%
Assists (L5)
+36.0% more
Charleston: 16.1
vs
Drake: 11.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.9%
Charleston: 71.0%
vs
Drake: 66.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DRKE Score
86.0
71
COFC Score
50.0
62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.7 / 32.2
24.0 / 35.0
Assists
16.1 / 11.8
7.0 / 16.0
Blocks
4.7 / 4.5
0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 42.1
34.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
71.0 / 66.2
63.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
39.4 / 38.7
46.0 / 40.0
Steals
5.4 / 8.0
10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
8.9 / 8.9
11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DRKE
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
COFC
Advantage
21-11-0
(65.6%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DRKE
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
COFC
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
DRKE
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +3.9
COFC
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COFC
DRKE
COFC
DRKE
ML
66%
19-10
59%
20-14
62%
18-11
38%
13-21
ATS
59%
17-12
85%
29-5
62%
18-11
38%
13-21
TTL
68%
19-9-1
56%
19-15
100%
29-0
100%
34-0
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