LOS ANGELES
KINGSLA
10-5-4 | Road
1
WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
8-8-2 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Darcy Kuemper
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Charlie Lindgren
#79 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper | None-None | 2.06 | 0.920 | -- |
| Charlie Lindgren | None-None | 1.00 | 0.968 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.06
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.920
Save %
Ldr 0.968
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
100%
CAPITALS
0%
KINGS
--
CAPITALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WSH -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
LA By 1 goal
6.6%
LA By 2-3 goals
3.7%
WSH By 1 goal
17.5%
WSH By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
1
LOS ANGELES
Washington
3
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Washington
4
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Capitals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Capitals
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Capitals (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Capitals (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 2, 2025
WSH @ LA
3 - 1
Nov 17, 2025
LA @ WSH
1 - 2
Mar 13, 2025
WSH @ LA
0 - 3
Dec 22, 2024
LA @ WSH
1 - 3
Jan 7, 2024
LA @ WSH
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+127.0% more
Washington: 6.4
vs
Los Angeles: 2.8
Hits (L5)
+42.2% more
Washington: 19.4
vs
Los Angeles: 13.7
Shots on Goal (L5)
+21.0% more
Washington: 32.1
vs
Los Angeles: 26.6
Blocked Shots (L5)
+8.2% more
Washington: 15.2
vs
Los Angeles: 14.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LA Score
1.0
1
WSH Score
3.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.2 / 14.1
21.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
49.8 / 44.0
46.8 / 53.2
Hits
19.4 / 13.7
17.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
5.0 / 5.3
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
32.1 / 26.6
25.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
6.4 / 2.8
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
LA
WSH
LA
ML
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
100%
3-0
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
TTL
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
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