CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
12-5-1 | Road
3
BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
12-8-0 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 1.00 | 0.967 | -- |
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 3.00 | 0.906 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
3.00
0.967 Ldr
Save %
0.906
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
100%
BRUINS
0%
HURRICANES
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
CAR By 1 goal
12.1%
CAR By 2-3 goals
9.3%
BOS By 1 goal
19.7%
BOS By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Boston
4
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Carolina
2
CAROLINA
Boston
3
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bruins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 7, 2026
BOS @ CAR
5 - 6
Nov 17, 2025
CAR @ BOS
3 - 1
Nov 1, 2025
CAR @ BOS
1 - 2
Apr 5, 2025
CAR @ BOS
1 - 5
Mar 6, 2025
BOS @ CAR
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+59.8% more
Boston: 15.1
vs
Carolina: 9.5
Hits (L5)
+32.6% more
Boston: 25.1
vs
Carolina: 18.9
Power Play % (L5)
+19.0%
Boston: 37.8%
vs
Carolina: 18.8%
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.7%
Boston: 49.6%
vs
Carolina: 47.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
3.0
3
BOS Score
4.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.1 / 9.5
20.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
49.6 / 47.9
56.1 / 43.9
Hits
25.1 / 18.9
26.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
37.8 / 18.8
25.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
25.8 / 35.9
30.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
4.9 / 6.6
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
CAR
BOS
CAR
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
ATS
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
100%
4-0
TTL
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
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