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SIU EDWARDSVILLE

COUGARSSIUE

3-2  |  Road

69
FINAL
Mon, Nov 17 • 8:00 PM ET
Kohl Center
View Odds Details →

WISCONSIN

BADGERSWIS

4-0  |  Home

94
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
📊
BADGERS
0%
COUGARS --
BADGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
WISCONSIN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Wisconsin)
CougarsSIUE (-3.5) 0 BadgersWIS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cougars Cover

21.2%

Badgers Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WIS -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WIS)

SIUE By 1-7 points

13.7%

SIUE By 8-14 points

4.8%

WIS By 1-7 points

25.3%

WIS By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
74
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
82
WISCONSIN
Simulated Score
58
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
82
WISCONSIN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Badgers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Badgers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Badgers (+25.5) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Badgers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o146.5 Win
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 17, 2025 SIUE @ WIS 69 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +44.0% more
Wisconsin: 16.3 vs SIU Edwardsville: 11.3
Free Throw % (L5) +26.2%
Wisconsin: 87.0% vs SIU Edwardsville: 60.8%
Blocks (L5) +24.0% more
Wisconsin: 4.7 vs SIU Edwardsville: 3.8
Field Goal % (L5) +6.2%
Wisconsin: 47.8% vs SIU Edwardsville: 41.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SIUE Score 74.0 69
WIS Score 82.0 94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.9 / 28.6 38.0 / 39.0
Assists 16.3 / 11.3 19.0 / 10.0
Blocks 4.7 / 3.8 6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 47.8 / 41.7 45.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 87.0 / 60.8 88.0 / 91.0
Rebounding 39.0 / 41.6 38.0 / 31.0
Steals 6.1 / 8.3 8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.6 / 12.4 4.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
32%MONEY68%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
62%MONEY38%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIUE
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 6.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
WIS Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 6.9 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIUE
15-14-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 6.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
WIS Advantage
20-15-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 6.9 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SIUE
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1% Total +/-: -4.5
WIS
22-13-0
O: 62.9% / U: 37.1% Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WIS
SIUE
WIS
SIUE
ML
60% 21-14
65% 20-11
69% 24-11
60% 18-12
ATS
51% 18-17
55% 17-14
69% 24-11
60% 18-12
TTL
57% 20-15
48% 15-16
100% 35-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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