LINDENWOOD
LIONSLIN
2-2 | Road
65
ALABAMA A&M
BULLDOGSAAMU
2-1 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
0%
BULLDOGS
100%
LIONS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
117.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
LINDENWOOD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Lindenwood)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LIN -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIN)
LIN By 1-7 points
27.2%
LIN By 8-14 points
23.0%
AAMU By 1-7 points
18.6%
AAMU By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Lindenwood
61
LINDENWOOD
Alabama A&M
56
ALABAMA A&M
Simulated Score
Lindenwood
68
LINDENWOOD
Alabama A&M
72
ALABAMA A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Lions
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Lions (-2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 117.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 16, 2025
LIN @ AAMU
65 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+36.6% more
Lindenwood: 11.1
vs
Alabama A&M: 7.1
Assists (L5)
+21.7% more
Lindenwood: 14.5
vs
Alabama A&M: 11.4
Rebounding (L5)
+12.2% more
Lindenwood: 37.4
vs
Alabama A&M: 32.8
Blocks (L5)
+11.4% more
Lindenwood: 3.3
vs
Alabama A&M: 2.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LIN Score
61.0
65
AAMU Score
56.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.6 / 30.1
43.0 / 18.0
Assists
11.4 / 14.5
12.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.9 / 3.3
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
38.4 / 44.3
45.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
75.6 / 66.1
76.0 / 62.0
Rebounding
32.8 / 37.4
32.0 / 31.0
Steals
7.1 / 11.1
10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 14.1
13.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIN
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
AAMU
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIN
14-15-1
(48.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
AAMU
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
LIN
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: -0.8
AAMU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AAMU
LIN
AAMU
LIN
ML
55%
16-13
47%
15-17
67%
16-8
61%
19-12
ATS
55%
16-13
34%
11-21
67%
16-8
61%
19-12
TTL
66%
19-10
53%
17-15
100%
24-0
100%
31-0
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