AI Model Win Probability
HIGHLANDERS
100%
VIKINGS
0%
HIGHLANDERS
--
VIKINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
192.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
CLEVELAND STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Cleveland State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
RAD By 1-7 points
8.0%
RAD By 8-14 points
2.2%
CLE By 1-7 points
20.1%
CLE By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Radford
90
RADFORD
Cleveland State
102
CLEVELAND STATE
Simulated Score
Radford
68
RADFORD
Cleveland State
73
CLEVELAND STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Vikings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Vikings
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Vikings (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Vikings (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o162.5
Win
Proj Total: 192.0
D
Sim
u162.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 16, 2025
RAD @ CLE
82 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+32.8% more
Cleveland State: 15.3
vs
Radford: 11.5
Turnovers (L5)
+13.7% more
Cleveland State: 14.5
vs
Radford: 12.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.1%
Cleveland State: 37.7%
vs
Radford: 27.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.6%
Cleveland State: 44.4%
vs
Radford: 42.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RAD Score
90.0
82
CLE Score
102.0
87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.7 / 27.7
35.0 / 20.0
Assists
15.3 / 11.5
18.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.4 / 4.0
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.4 / 42.8
44.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
68.6 / 68.4
65.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
34.4 / 36.2
43.0 / 46.0
Steals
4.9 / 6.7
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.5 / 12.7
16.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RAD
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: -2.2
CLE
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RAD
Advantage
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: -2.2
CLE
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
RAD
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +2.9
CLE
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +6.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
RAD
CLE
RAD
ML
52%
17-16
77%
23-7
64%
21-12
76%
22-7
ATS
64%
21-12
63%
19-11
64%
21-12
77%
23-7
TTL
52%
17-16
67%
20-10
100%
33-0
100%
30-0