Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Blue Hose @ Hornets PRES @ SAC

PRESBYTERIAN

BLUE HOSEPRES

3-2  |  Road

62
FINAL
Sun, Nov 16 • 4:00 PM ET
Hornet Pavilion
View Odds Details →

SACRAMENTO STATE

HORNETSSAC

2-2  |  Home

64
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE HOSE
0%
📊
HORNETS
100%
BLUE HOSE --
HORNETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
121.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
PRESBYTERIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Presbyterian)
Blue HosePRES (-3.5) 0 HornetsSAC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blue Hose Cover

95.5%

Hornets Cover

4.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PRES -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRES)

PRES By 1-7 points

12.2%

PRES By 8-14 points

23.0%

SAC By 1-7 points

3.3%

SAC By 8-14 points

0.6%

AI Model Projected Score
69
PRESBYTERIAN
52
SACRAMENTO STATE
Simulated Score
70
PRESBYTERIAN
75
SACRAMENTO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Blue Hose Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hornets Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Blue Hose (-6.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Hornets (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 121.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 16, 2025 PRES @ SAC 62 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +44.1% more
Sacramento State: 6.4 vs Presbyterian: 4.5
Blocks (L5) +30.7% more
Sacramento State: 4.3 vs Presbyterian: 3.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +14.1%
Sacramento State: 38.4% vs Presbyterian: 24.3%
Assists (L5) +9.1% more
Sacramento State: 14.8 vs Presbyterian: 13.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PRES Score 69.0 62
SAC Score 52.0 64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.4 / 24.3 18.0 / 14.0
Assists 14.8 / 13.6 13.0 / 12.0
Blocks 4.3 / 3.3 6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 46.5 / 44.8 46.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 73.9 / 67.3 72.0 / 62.0
Rebounding 36.4 / 35.0 36.0 / 34.0
Steals 6.4 / 4.5 4.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 13.2 / 12.6 17.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
6%MONEY94%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
32%MONEY68%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
15%MONEY85%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRES Advantage
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: +0.7
SAC
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRES Advantage
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: +0.7
SAC
13-15-0 (46.4%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
PRES
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +0.7
SAC
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
PRES
SAC
PRES
ML
57% 17-13
69% 22-10
87% 26-4
80% 24-6
ATS
73% 22-8
59% 19-13
87% 27-4
80% 24-6
TTL
60% 18-12
59% 19-13
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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