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INCARNATE WORD

CARDINALSUIW

2-1  |  Road

61
FINAL
Sun, Nov 16 • 5:30 PM ET
Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall
View Odds Details →

INDIANA

HOOSIERSIU

3-0  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
100%
📊
HOOSIERS
0%
CARDINALS --
HOOSIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Indiana)
CardinalsUIW (-3.5) 0 HoosiersIU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cardinals Cover

1.8%

Hoosiers Cover

98.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IU -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IU)

UIW By 1-7 points

1.4%

UIW By 8-14 points

0.2%

IU By 1-7 points

6.8%

IU By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
56
INCARNATE WORD
77
INDIANA
Simulated Score
59
INCARNATE WORD
88
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hoosiers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hoosiers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hoosiers (+29.5) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Hoosiers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 16, 2025 UIW @ IU 61 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +47.3% more
Indiana: 22.1 vs Incarnate Word: 15.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.1%
Indiana: 43.1% vs Incarnate Word: 39.0%
Free Throw % (L5) +4.1%
Indiana: 74.1% vs Incarnate Word: 70.0%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.0%
Indiana: 51.3% vs Incarnate Word: 49.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UIW Score 56.0 61
IU Score 77.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 43.1 / 39.0 21.0 / 38.0
Assists 22.1 / 15.0 18.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.0 / 3.2 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 51.3 / 49.3 43.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 74.1 / 70.0 69.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 36.0 / 43.7 42.0 / 29.0
Steals 6.5 / 7.7 4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 8.7 / 9.7 10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
7%MONEY93%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
63%MONEY37%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UIW
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.0
IU Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: -1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UIW
10-18-0 (35.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.0
IU Advantage
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: -1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
UIW
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.4
IU
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IU
UIW
IU
UIW
ML
66% 21-11
47% 14-16
71% 22-9
76% 22-7
ATS
53% 17-15
53% 16-14
71% 22-9
77% 23-7
TTL
56% 18-14
60% 18-12
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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