Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / 49ers @ Hokies CLT @ VT

CHARLOTTE

49ERSCLT

2-1  |  Road

76
FINAL
Sun, Nov 16 • 2:00 PM ET
Cassell Coliseum
View Odds Details →

VIRGINIA TECH

HOKIESVT

3-0  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
49ERS
100%
📊
HOKIES
0%
49ERS --
HOKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-35.0
VIRGINIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +35.0 points (Virginia Tech)
49ersCLT (-3.5) 0 HokiesVT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

49ers Cover

0.0%

Hokies Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VT -35.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VT)

CLT By 1-7 points

0.0%

CLT By 8-14 points

0.0%

VT By 1-7 points

0.3%

VT By 8-14 points

1.7%

AI Model Projected Score
58
CHARLOTTE
93
VIRGINIA TECH
Simulated Score
62
CHARLOTTE
75
VIRGINIA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hokies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hokies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hokies (-18.5) Win
Proj Spread: -35.0
D
Sim Hokies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o145.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 16, 2025 CLT @ VT 76 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +82.5% more
Virginia Tech: 9.1 vs Charlotte: 5.0
Assists (L5) +34.5% more
Virginia Tech: 16.7 vs Charlotte: 12.4
Blocks (L5) +32.8% more
Virginia Tech: 4.9 vs Charlotte: 3.7
Rebounding (L5) +16.5% more
Virginia Tech: 40.5 vs Charlotte: 34.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLT Score 58.0 76
VT Score 93.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.0 / 36.4 34.0 / 30.0
Assists 16.7 / 12.4 16.0 / 10.0
Blocks 4.9 / 3.7 5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 48.2 / 41.6 37.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 62.6 / 65.0 83.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 40.5 / 34.8 39.0 / 42.0
Steals 9.1 / 5.0 4.0 / 1.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 12.1 6.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
35%MONEY65%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
66%MONEY34%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLT
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +0.8
VT Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLT
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +0.8
VT Advantage
17-14-1 (54.8%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CLT
19-13-1
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +3.7
VT
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: +3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VT
CLT
VT
CLT
ML
53% 17-15
62% 21-13
72% 23-9
67% 22-11
ATS
59% 19-13
68% 23-11
72% 23-9
67% 22-11
TTL
69% 22-10
65% 22-12
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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