Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Owls BC @ TEM

BOSTON COLLEGE

EAGLESBC

1-2  |  Road

76
FINAL
Sat, Nov 15 • 2:00 PM ET
Liacouras Center
View Odds Details →

TEMPLE

OWLSTEM

2-0  |  Home

71
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
📊
OWLS
100%
EAGLES --
OWLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
BOSTON COLLEGE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Boston College)
EaglesBC (-3.5) 0 OwlsTEM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

90.3%

Owls Cover

9.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BC -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BC)

BC By 1-7 points

18.6%

BC By 8-14 points

26.8%

TEM By 1-7 points

6.8%

TEM By 8-14 points

1.7%

AI Model Projected Score
84
BOSTON COLLEGE
71
TEMPLE
Simulated Score
73
BOSTON COLLEGE
68
TEMPLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (-3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Eagles (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o141.5 Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 15, 2025 BC @ TEM 76 - 71
Nov 15, 2024 TEM @ BC 69 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +14.8% more
Boston College: 6.6 vs Temple: 5.6
Turnovers (L5) +14.0% more
Boston College: 9.5 vs Temple: 8.1
Rebounding (L5) +9.8% more
Boston College: 40.6 vs Temple: 36.6
Free Throw % (L5) +2.3%
Boston College: 71.0% vs Temple: 68.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BC Score 84.0 76
TEM Score 71.0 71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.9 / 24.7 23.0 / 30.0
Assists 14.7 / 11.4 13.0 / 16.0
Blocks 5.0 / 4.7 6.0 / 13.0
Field Goal % 47.9 / 39.5 34.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 68.7 / 71.0 74.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 36.6 / 40.6 43.0 / 43.0
Steals 5.6 / 6.6 5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 8.1 / 9.5 5.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
30%MONEY70%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
42%MONEY58%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
91%MONEY9%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BC
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
TEM Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BC Advantage
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
TEM
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
BC
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3% Total +/-: -3.7
TEM
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEM
BC
TEM
BC
ML
62% 20-12
61% 19-12
67% 20-10
61% 17-11
ATS
56% 18-14
73% 22-8-1
67% 20-10
61% 17-11
TTL
69% 22-10
61% 19-12
100% 30-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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