AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
JAYHAWKS
0%
TIGERS
--
JAYHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
106.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
KANSAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (Kansas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around KU -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KU)
PRIN By 1-7 points
0.0%
PRIN By 8-14 points
0.0%
KU By 1-7 points
0.4%
KU By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Princeton
36
PRINCETON
Kansas
70
KANSAS
Simulated Score
Princeton
65
PRINCETON
Kansas
82
KANSAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jayhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jayhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jayhawks (-22.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim
Jayhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 106.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
PRIN @ KU
57 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+127.8% more
Kansas: 7.0
vs
Princeton: 3.1
Turnovers (L5)
+27.5% more
Kansas: 13.7
vs
Princeton: 10.7
Assists (L5)
+8.5% more
Kansas: 17.3
vs
Princeton: 16.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.3%
Kansas: 49.6%
vs
Princeton: 44.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PRIN Score
36.0
57
KU Score
70.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.4 / 35.7
24.0 / 29.0
Assists
17.3 / 16.0
12.0 / 12.0
Blocks
7.0 / 3.1
5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
49.6 / 44.3
47.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
71.3 / 78.4
75.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
38.5 / 40.2
43.0 / 31.0
Steals
6.1 / 5.9
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 10.7
14.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRIN
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
KU
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRIN
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
KU
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
PRIN
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6%
Total +/-: -2.4
KU
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KU
PRIN
KU
PRIN
ML
57%
20-15
45%
13-16
68%
21-10
62%
18-11
ATS
49%
17-18
48%
14-15
68%
21-10
62%
18-11
TTL
60%
21-14
72%
21-8
100%
31-0
100%
29-0