Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Raiders @ Highlanders WRST @ RAD

WRIGHT STATE

RAIDERSWRST

1-2  |  Road

92
FINAL
Sat, Nov 15 • 3:30 PM ET
Colonial Hall
View Odds Details →

RADFORD

HIGHLANDERSRAD

2-1  |  Home

59
AI Model Win Probability
RAIDERS
100%
📊
HIGHLANDERS
0%
RAIDERS --
HIGHLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
RADFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Radford)
RaidersWRST (-3.5) 0 HighlandersRAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Raiders Cover

11.5%

Highlanders Cover

88.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RAD -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RAD)

WRST By 1-7 points

8.0%

WRST By 8-14 points

2.2%

RAD By 1-7 points

20.1%

RAD By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
62
WRIGHT STATE
74
RADFORD
Simulated Score
70
WRIGHT STATE
75
RADFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Highlanders Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Highlanders Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Highlanders (-6.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Highlanders (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 15, 2025 WRST @ RAD 92 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +24.3% more
Radford: 38.8 vs Wright State: 31.2
Blocks (L5) +21.8% more
Wright State: 3.8 vs Radford: 3.0
Steals (L5) +21.6% more
Wright State: 8.3 vs Radford: 6.5
Assists (L5) +18.2% more
Wright State: 14.4 vs Radford: 11.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WRST Score 62.0 92
RAD Score 74.0 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.5 / 34.5 24.0 / 65.0
Assists 11.8 / 14.4 11.0 / 24.0
Blocks 3.0 / 3.8 6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 46.1 / 49.8 36.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 69.1 / 71.5 67.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 38.8 / 31.2 31.0 / 42.0
Steals 6.5 / 8.3 7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 14.0 15.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
38%MONEY62%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
8%MONEY92%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WRST Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
RAD
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WRST Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
RAD
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WRST
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +3.3
RAD
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RAD
WRST
RAD
WRST
ML
77% 23-7
37% 13-22
76% 22-7
63% 22-13
ATS
63% 19-11
46% 16-19
77% 23-7
63% 22-13
TTL
67% 20-10
63% 22-13
100% 30-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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