AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
100%
HIGHLANDERS
0%
KNIGHTS
--
HIGHLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NJIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (NJIT)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NJIT -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJIT)
FDU By 1-7 points
24.3%
FDU By 8-14 points
13.7%
NJIT By 1-7 points
26.2%
NJIT By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Fairleigh Dickinson
73
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
NJIT
74
NJIT
Simulated Score
Fairleigh Dickinson
71
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
NJIT
75
NJIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Highlanders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Highlanders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Highlanders (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Highlanders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o146.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
FDU @ NJIT
81 - 93
Dec 2, 2023
FDU @ NJIT
71 - 68
Dec 11, 2022
NJIT @ FDU
71 - 73
Nov 24, 2021
FDU @ NJIT
54 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+11.9% more
NJIT: 2.6
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 2.4
Steals (L5)
+11.7% more
NJIT: 5.7
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 5.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.8%
NJIT: 69.6%
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 63.8%
Assists (L5)
+26.9% more
Fairleigh Dickinson: 11.5
vs
NJIT: 8.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FDU Score
73.0
81
NJIT Score
74.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.9 / 31.0
46.0 / 29.0
Assists
8.4 / 11.5
21.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.6 / 2.4
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
38.6 / 39.2
61.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
69.6 / 63.8
66.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
35.0 / 34.2
36.0 / 33.0
Steals
5.7 / 5.1
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
13.0 / 13.4
18.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FDU
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
NJIT
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FDU
10-18-1
(35.7%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
NJIT
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
FDU
9-20-0
O: 31.0% / U: 69.0%
Total +/-: -2.5
NJIT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJIT
FDU
NJIT
FDU
ML
78%
25-7
65%
20-11
62%
20-12
74%
23-8
ATS
72%
23-9
68%
21-10
62%
20-12
74%
23-8
TTL
47%
15-17
58%
18-13
100%
32-0
100%
31-0