WILLIAM & MARY
TRIBEW&M
2-1 | Road
60
ST. JOHN'S
RED STORMSJU
1-1 | Home
93
AI Model Win Probability
TRIBE
100%
RED STORM
0%
TRIBE
--
RED STORM
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-46.0
ST. JOHN'S
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +46.0 points (St. John's)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SJU -46.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SJU)
W&M By 1-7 points
0.0%
W&M By 8-14 points
0.0%
SJU By 1-7 points
0.0%
SJU By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
William & Mary
55
WILLIAM & MARY
St. John's
101
ST. JOHN'S
Simulated Score
William & Mary
65
WILLIAM & MARY
St. John's
82
ST. JOHN'S
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Red Storm
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Storm
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Storm (-28.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -46.0
D
Sim
Red Storm (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u179.5
Win
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim
u179.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
W&M @ SJU
60 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+15.7% more
St. John's: 44.2
vs
William & Mary: 38.2
Blocks (L5)
+10.0% more
St. John's: 3.8
vs
William & Mary: 3.4
Steals (L5)
+27.8% more
William & Mary: 9.1
vs
St. John's: 6.6
Turnovers (L5)
+11.7% more
William & Mary: 12.3
vs
St. John's: 10.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
W&M Score
55.0
60
SJU Score
101.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.3 / 33.6
21.0 / 31.0
Assists
17.6 / 17.6
17.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.8 / 3.4
7.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 45.5
48.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
69.2 / 74.2
68.0 / 42.0
Rebounding
44.2 / 38.2
43.0 / 36.0
Steals
6.6 / 9.1
13.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 12.3
11.0 / 24.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
W&M
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
SJU
Advantage
30-7-0
(81.1%)
Margin: 11.3
ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
W&M
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
SJU
Advantage
22-13-1
(62.9%)
Margin: 11.3
ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
W&M
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -1.8
SJU
13-23-0
O: 36.1% / U: 63.9%
Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJU
W&M
SJU
W&M
ML
62%
18-11
55%
17-14
62%
18-11
61%
19-12
ATS
66%
19-10
63%
19-11-1
62%
18-11
61%
19-12
TTL
59%
17-12
61%
19-12
100%
29-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
Keyshawn Hall Wins Temporary Restraining Order, Cleared to Suit …
UConn Men's Basketball 2026-27 Big East Schedule Released: Key M…
Millbury's Tom Moore announces retirement from UConn basketball
St. John's forward Donnie Freeman to miss next season following …
Feb 14, 2026; Providence, Rhode Island, USA; Providence College …