Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Bulldogs JKST @ LT

JACKSON STATE

TIGERSJKST

0-3  |  Road

51
FINAL
Sat, Nov 15 • 7:00 PM ET
Thomas Assembly Center
View Odds Details →

LOUISIANA TECH

BULLDOGSLT

2-1  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
TIGERS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
99.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
LOUISIANA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Louisiana Tech)
TigersJKST (-3.5) 0 BulldogsLT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

0.3%

Bulldogs Cover

99.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LT -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LT)

JKST By 1-7 points

0.3%

JKST By 8-14 points

0.0%

LT By 1-7 points

2.2%

LT By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
36
JACKSON STATE
63
LOUISIANA TECH
Simulated Score
67
JACKSON STATE
78
LOUISIANA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 99.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 15, 2025 JKST @ LT 51 - 68
Nov 12, 2021 JKST @ LT 68 - 70
Dec 15, 2020 JKST @ LT 58 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +51.4% more
Louisiana Tech: 5.4 vs Jackson State: 3.6
Steals (L5) +43.0% more
Louisiana Tech: 9.1 vs Jackson State: 6.4
Rebounding (L5) +24.6% more
Louisiana Tech: 40.2 vs Jackson State: 32.2
Assists (L5) +24.0% more
Louisiana Tech: 13.1 vs Jackson State: 10.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JKST Score 36.0 51
LT Score 63.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.2 / 35.4 25.0 / 24.0
Assists 13.1 / 10.6 11.0 / 10.0
Blocks 5.4 / 3.6 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 46.3 / 40.7 36.0 / 27.0
Free Throw % 62.3 / 67.7 58.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 40.2 / 32.2 57.0 / 37.0
Steals 9.1 / 6.4 6.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 12.2 13.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
1%MONEY99%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
13%MONEY87%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
86%MONEY14%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JKST
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
LT Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JKST
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
LT Advantage
17-13-1 (56.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
JKST
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +4.2
LT
15-15-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LT
JKST
LT
JKST
ML
58% 19-14
77% 24-7
72% 23-9
73% 19-7
ATS
61% 20-13
77% 24-7
72% 23-9
73% 19-7
TTL
61% 20-13
58% 18-13
100% 32-0
100% 26-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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