Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wolf Pack @ Broncos NEV @ SCU

NEVADA

WOLF PACKNEV

3-0  |  Road

83
FINAL
Sat, Nov 15 • 7:00 PM ET
Leavey Center
View Odds Details →

SANTA CLARA

BRONCOSSCU

3-0  |  Home

98
AI Model Win Probability
WOLF PACK
100%
📊
BRONCOS
0%
WOLF PACK --
BRONCOS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
193.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
SANTA CLARA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Santa Clara)
Wolf PackNEV (-3.5) 0 BroncosSCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wolf Pack Cover

30.9%

Broncos Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SCU -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SCU)

NEV By 1-7 points

18.6%

NEV By 8-14 points

8.0%

SCU By 1-7 points

27.2%

SCU By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
94
NEVADA
99
SANTA CLARA
Simulated Score
70
NEVADA
75
SANTA CLARA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Broncos Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Broncos Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Broncos (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Broncos (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o143.5 Win
Proj Total: 193.0
D
Sim u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 15, 2025 NEV @ SCU 83 - 98
Nov 16, 2024 SCU @ NEV 59 - 85
Nov 16, 2021 NEV @ SCU 74 - 96
Dec 4, 2019 SCU @ NEV 67 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +60.4% more
Santa Clara: 11.4 vs Nevada: 7.1
Steals (L5) +57.5% more
Santa Clara: 8.2 vs Nevada: 5.2
Assists (L5) +35.7% more
Santa Clara: 19.3 vs Nevada: 14.2
Blocks (L5) +21.3% more
Santa Clara: 6.1 vs Nevada: 5.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NEV Score 94.0 83
SCU Score 99.0 98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.3 / 25.2 48.0 / 50.0
Assists 19.3 / 14.2 27.0 / 17.0
Blocks 6.1 / 5.0 11.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 48.8 / 40.4 62.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 64.4 / 71.7 63.0 / 86.0
Rebounding 43.0 / 44.7 31.0 / 29.0
Steals 8.2 / 5.2 8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 7.1 11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
6%MONEY94%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
18%MONEY82%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
63%MONEY37%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NEV
24-13-0 (64.9%)
Margin: 4.5 ATS +/-: +1.2
SCU Advantage
26-9-0 (74.3%)
Margin: 10.0 ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NEV Advantage
22-15-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 4.5 ATS +/-: +1.2
SCU
17-16-1 (51.5%)
Margin: 10.0 ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
NEV
21-16-0
O: 56.8% / U: 43.2% Total +/-: +2.7
SCU
20-13-1
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SCU
NEV
SCU
NEV
ML
44% 15-19
62% 23-14
73% 22-8
73% 27-10
ATS
53% 18-16
73% 27-10
74% 23-8
73% 27-10
TTL
47% 16-18
49% 18-19
100% 31-0
100% 37-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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