GRAND CANYON
LOPESGCU
2-1 | Road
64
SAINT LOUIS
BILLIKENSSLU
3-0 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
LOPES
100%
BILLIKENS
0%
LOPES
--
BILLIKENS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
131.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
SAINT LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Saint Louis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SLU -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SLU)
GCU By 1-7 points
9.3%
GCU By 8-14 points
2.7%
SLU By 1-7 points
21.6%
SLU By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Grand Canyon
60
GRAND CANYON
Saint Louis
71
SAINT LOUIS
Simulated Score
Grand Canyon
75
GRAND CANYON
Saint Louis
72
SAINT LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Billikens
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lopes
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Billikens (-8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Lopes (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u168.5
Win
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Sim
u168.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
GCU @ SLU
64 - 78
Dec 22, 2024
SLU @ GCU
72 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+24.6% more
Saint Louis: 8.4
vs
Grand Canyon: 6.7
Turnovers (L5)
+17.2% more
Saint Louis: 15.9
vs
Grand Canyon: 13.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.1%
Saint Louis: 41.0%
vs
Grand Canyon: 30.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.8%
Saint Louis: 55.9%
vs
Grand Canyon: 48.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GCU Score
60.0
64
SLU Score
71.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.0 / 30.9
37.0 / 25.0
Assists
14.8 / 15.0
16.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.5 / 3.3
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
55.9 / 48.1
46.0 / 28.0
Free Throw %
76.5 / 79.3
82.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
38.5 / 37.1
45.0 / 39.0
Steals
8.4 / 6.7
8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
15.9 / 13.6
18.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GCU
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 7.0
ATS +/-: +0.8
SLU
Advantage
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GCU
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 7.0
ATS +/-: +0.8
SLU
Advantage
19-13-2
(59.4%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
GCU
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -3.4
SLU
18-16-0
O: 52.9% / U: 47.1%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SLU
GCU
SLU
GCU
ML
70%
23-10
66%
21-11
68%
21-10
68%
21-10
ATS
73%
24-9
72%
23-9
68%
21-10
68%
21-10
TTL
61%
20-13
44%
14-18
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
