AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
BRUINS
--
GOLDEN EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
170.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
BELMONT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Belmont)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BEL -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BEL)
BEL By 1-7 points
25.3%
BEL By 8-14 points
26.2%
ORU By 1-7 points
13.7%
ORU By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Belmont
89
BELMONT
Oral Roberts
81
ORAL ROBERTS
Simulated Score
Belmont
73
BELMONT
Oral Roberts
78
ORAL ROBERTS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bruins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Eagles
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bruins (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Golden Eagles (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u171.5
Win
Proj Total: 170.0
D
Sim
u171.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
BEL @ ORU
83 - 60
Nov 19, 2024
ORU @ BEL
80 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+25.0% more
Belmont: 16.8
vs
Oral Roberts: 12.6
Turnovers (L5)
+9.0% more
Belmont: 13.2
vs
Oral Roberts: 12.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.7%
Belmont: 47.2%
vs
Oral Roberts: 42.5%
Blocks (L5)
+44.0% more
Oral Roberts: 5.4
vs
Belmont: 3.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BEL Score
89.0
83
ORU Score
81.0
60
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.1 / 28.6
13.0 / 43.0
Assists
12.6 / 16.8
3.0 / 16.0
Blocks
5.4 / 3.8
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.5 / 47.2
31.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
73.9 / 70.2
77.0 / 47.0
Rebounding
34.3 / 35.1
30.0 / 45.0
Steals
7.2 / 7.0
10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 13.2
13.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BEL
Advantage
26-6-0
(81.3%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +2.2
ORU
10-23-0
(30.3%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BEL
Advantage
17-13-1
(56.7%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +2.2
ORU
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
BEL
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7%
Total +/-: +4.1
ORU
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORU
BEL
ORU
BEL
ML
85%
28-5
47%
15-17
73%
24-9
62%
20-12
ATS
82%
27-6
56%
18-14
73%
24-9
62%
20-12
TTL
61%
20-13
44%
14-18
100%
33-0
100%
32-0