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GARDNER-WEBB

RUNNIN' BULLDOGSGWEB

0-3  |  Road

84
FINAL
Sat, Nov 15 • 8:00 PM ET
Schar Center
View Odds Details →

ELON

PHOENIXELON

2-1  |  Home

95
AI Model Win Probability
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
100%
📊
PHOENIX
0%
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS --
PHOENIX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
134.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
ELON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Elon)
Runnin' BulldogsGWEB (-3.5) 0 PhoenixELON (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Runnin' Bulldogs Cover

5.5%

Phoenix Cover

94.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ELON -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ELON)

GWEB By 1-7 points

4.0%

GWEB By 8-14 points

0.8%

ELON By 1-7 points

13.7%

ELON By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
59
GARDNER-WEBB
75
ELON
Simulated Score
68
GARDNER-WEBB
73
ELON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Phoenix Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Phoenix Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Phoenix (-12.5) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Phoenix (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u154.5 Loss
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Sim u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 15, 2025 GWEB @ ELON 84 - 95
Nov 15, 2024 ELON @ GWEB 79 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +77.0% more
Elon: 4.3 vs Gardner-Webb: 2.4
Assists (L5) +65.0% more
Elon: 15.5 vs Gardner-Webb: 9.4
Steals (L5) +34.4% more
Elon: 7.8 vs Gardner-Webb: 5.8
Rebounding (L5) +28.2% more
Elon: 39.3 vs Gardner-Webb: 30.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GWEB Score 59.0 84
ELON Score 75.0 95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.4 / 28.5 52.0 / 26.0
Assists 15.5 / 9.4 18.0 / 15.0
Blocks 4.3 / 2.4 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 44.6 / 40.8 54.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 75.5 / 69.3 65.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 39.3 / 30.7 35.0 / 37.0
Steals 7.8 / 5.8 9.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 8.9 / 12.5 15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
29%MONEY71%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
29%MONEY71%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GWEB
4-29-0 (12.1%)
Margin: -17.3 ATS +/-: -3.0
ELON Advantage
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GWEB Advantage
15-14-1 (51.7%)
Margin: -17.3 ATS +/-: -3.0
ELON
11-19-0 (36.7%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
GWEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: -1.0
ELON
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ELON
GWEB
ELON
GWEB
ML
61% 19-12
73% 22-8
71% 22-9
63% 19-11
ATS
55% 17-14
73% 22-8
71% 22-9
63% 19-11
TTL
52% 16-15
53% 16-14
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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