IDAHO STATE
BENGALSIDST
2-1 | Road
74
SEATTLE U
REDHAWKSSEA
2-1 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
BENGALS
0%
REDHAWKS
100%
BENGALS
--
REDHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
IDAHO STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Idaho State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around IDST -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IDST)
IDST By 1-7 points
21.6%
IDST By 8-14 points
27.4%
SEA By 1-7 points
9.3%
SEA By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Idaho State
76
IDAHO STATE
Seattle U
65
SEATTLE U
Simulated Score
Idaho State
68
IDAHO STATE
Seattle U
78
SEATTLE U
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bengals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Redhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bengals (-10.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Redhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
IDST @ SEA
74 - 83
Nov 14, 2021
IDST @ SEA
51 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.9%
Idaho State: 69.4%
vs
Seattle U: 60.5%
Blocks (L5)
+72.2% more
Seattle U: 4.8
vs
Idaho State: 2.8
Steals (L5)
+50.7% more
Seattle U: 8.6
vs
Idaho State: 5.7
Assists (L5)
+31.8% more
Seattle U: 15.1
vs
Idaho State: 11.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IDST Score
76.0
74
SEA Score
65.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.3 / 30.6
55.0 / 33.0
Assists
15.1 / 11.4
18.0 / 16.0
Blocks
4.8 / 2.8
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
50.3 / 43.2
62.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
60.5 / 69.4
77.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
32.9 / 33.3
23.0 / 31.0
Steals
8.6 / 5.7
8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
14.2 / 12.2
12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IDST
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -2.5
SEA
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IDST
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -2.5
SEA
Advantage
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
IDST
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +5.4
SEA
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
IDST
SEA
IDST
ML
46%
16-19
59%
19-13
71%
24-10
72%
23-9
ATS
57%
20-15
50%
16-16
71%
24-10
72%
23-9
TTL
49%
17-18
59%
19-13
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
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