TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
8-8-2 | Road
2
CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
8-5-4 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Morgan Rielly
#44 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Spencer Knight
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Rielly | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Spencer Knight | None-None | 2.00 | 0.939 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.00
--
Save %
0.939
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAPLE LEAFS
100%
BLACKHAWKS
0%
MAPLE LEAFS
--
BLACKHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CHI -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
TOR By 1 goal
6.6%
TOR By 2-3 goals
3.7%
CHI By 1 goal
17.5%
CHI By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
1
TORONTO
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Toronto
2
TORONTO
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blackhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blackhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blackhawks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Blackhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 16, 2025
CHI @ TOR
2 - 3
Nov 15, 2025
TOR @ CHI
2 - 3
Feb 23, 2025
TOR @ CHI
5 - 2
Dec 2, 2024
CHI @ TOR
1 - 4
Nov 24, 2023
TOR @ CHI
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+40.0%
Chicago: 55.0%
vs
Toronto: 14.9%
Takeaways (L5)
+29.0% more
Chicago: 4.6
vs
Toronto: 3.6
Blocked Shots (L5)
+28.6% more
Toronto: 17.6
vs
Chicago: 12.6
Hits (L5)
+21.0% more
Toronto: 25.5
vs
Chicago: 20.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
1.0
2
CHI Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.6 / 17.6
17.0 / 5.0
Faceoff %
45.4 / 61.5
38.9 / 61.1
Hits
20.1 / 25.5
15.0 / 28.0
Power Play %
5495.0 / 1494.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
23.3 / 23.4
32.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
4.6 / 3.6
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
TOR
CHI
TOR
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
ATS
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
100%
4-0
75%
3-1
TTL
33%
1-2-1
100%
4-0
67%
2-1-1
75%
3-1
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