AI Model Win Probability
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
100%
SCARLET KNIGHTS
0%
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
--
SCARLET KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
RUTGERS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Rutgers)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RUTG -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RUTG)
LEH By 1-7 points
1.1%
LEH By 8-14 points
0.1%
RUTG By 1-7 points
5.8%
RUTG By 8-14 points
15.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Lehigh
66
LEHIGH
Rutgers
88
RUTGERS
Simulated Score
Lehigh
56
LEHIGH
Rutgers
78
RUTGERS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Scarlet Knights
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Scarlet Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Scarlet Knights (-17.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Scarlet Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o136.5
Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 14, 2025
LEH @ RUTG
72 - 84
Nov 10, 2021
LEH @ RUTG
70 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+12.8% more
Rutgers: 8.3
vs
Lehigh: 7.4
Rebounding (L5)
+11.6% more
Rutgers: 37.8
vs
Lehigh: 33.9
Blocks (L5)
+10.5% more
Rutgers: 3.9
vs
Lehigh: 3.5
Turnovers (L5)
+23.0% more
Lehigh: 14.3
vs
Rutgers: 11.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LEH Score
66.0
72
RUTG Score
88.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.6 / 33.5
23.0 / 36.0
Assists
13.4 / 12.9
15.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.9 / 3.5
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.7 / 43.2
51.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
67.1 / 69.9
70.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
37.8 / 33.9
45.0 / 26.0
Steals
8.3 / 7.4
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 14.3
10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LEH
Advantage
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
RUTG
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LEH
Advantage
18-14-1
(56.3%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
RUTG
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LEH
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.5
RUTG
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RUTG
LEH
RUTG
LEH
ML
53%
18-16
56%
19-15
70%
23-10
68%
23-11
ATS
68%
23-11
56%
19-15
70%
23-10
68%
23-11
TTL
53%
18-16
76%
26-8
100%
33-0
100%
34-0