AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
BUCCANEERS
0%
LIONS
--
BUCCANEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Charleston Southern)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHSO -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHSO)
LIN By 1-7 points
24.3%
LIN By 8-14 points
13.7%
CHSO By 1-7 points
26.2%
CHSO By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Lindenwood
69
LINDENWOOD
Charleston Southern
70
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
Lindenwood
68
LINDENWOOD
Charleston Southern
72
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Buccaneers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Buccaneers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Buccaneers (+3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Buccaneers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u156.0
Loss
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u156.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 14, 2025
LIN @ CHSO
83 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+25.9% more
Charleston Southern: 16.8
vs
Lindenwood: 13.3
Rebounding (L5)
+15.2% more
Charleston Southern: 40.4
vs
Lindenwood: 35.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.2%
Charleston Southern: 33.9%
vs
Lindenwood: 28.7%
Steals (L5)
+45.8% more
Lindenwood: 10.2
vs
Charleston Southern: 5.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LIN Score
69.0
83
CHSO Score
70.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 28.7
29.0 / 33.0
Assists
16.8 / 13.3
20.0 / 17.0
Blocks
3.1 / 3.4
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.0 / 44.4
43.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
64.1 / 65.1
69.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
40.4 / 35.1
42.0 / 42.0
Steals
5.5 / 10.2
5.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
13.8 / 15.6
16.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIN
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
CHSO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIN
14-15-1
(48.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
CHSO
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
LIN
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: -0.8
CHSO
19-10-0
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5%
Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHSO
LIN
CHSO
LIN
ML
43%
13-17
47%
15-17
67%
20-10
61%
19-12
ATS
50%
15-15
34%
11-21
68%
21-10
61%
19-12
TTL
50%
15-15
53%
17-15
100%
31-0
100%
31-0