AI Model Win Probability
PRIDE
0%
BISON
100%
PRIDE
--
BISON
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
132.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
HOFSTRA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Hofstra)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HOF -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOF)
HOF By 1-7 points
25.3%
HOF By 8-14 points
26.2%
BUCK By 1-7 points
13.7%
BUCK By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Hofstra
70
HOFSTRA
Bucknell
62
BUCKNELL
Simulated Score
Hofstra
73
HOFSTRA
Bucknell
69
BUCKNELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pride
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pride
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pride (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Pride (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u139.5
Loss
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 14, 2025
HOF @ BUCK
83 - 77
Dec 4, 2021
BUCK @ HOF
69 - 88
Nov 13, 2019
HOF @ BUCK
71 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+32.9% more
Hofstra: 16.6
vs
Bucknell: 11.1
Blocks (L5)
+26.1% more
Hofstra: 3.8
vs
Bucknell: 2.8
Rebounding (L5)
+18.9% more
Hofstra: 42.0
vs
Bucknell: 34.1
Turnovers (L5)
+11.6% more
Hofstra: 11.8
vs
Bucknell: 10.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOF Score
70.0
83
BUCK Score
62.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.5 / 31.6
32.0 / 42.0
Assists
11.1 / 16.6
13.0 / 15.0
Blocks
2.8 / 3.8
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.8 / 45.2
42.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
70.8 / 63.8
86.0 / 66.0
Rebounding
34.1 / 42.0
35.0 / 33.0
Steals
6.7 / 7.2
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.5 / 11.8
17.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOF
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
BUCK
10-23-0
(30.3%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOF
Advantage
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
BUCK
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
⚖️ Over/Under
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +0.2
BUCK
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUCK
HOF
BUCK
HOF
ML
55%
18-15
77%
27-8
64%
21-12
71%
25-10
ATS
45%
15-18
83%
29-6
64%
21-12
71%
25-10
TTL
61%
20-13
51%
18-17
100%
33-0
100%
35-0