Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Sycamores @ Blue Devils INST @ DUKE

INDIANA STATE

SYCAMORESINST

2-1  |  Road

62
FINAL
Fri, Nov 14 • 7:00 PM ET
Cameron Indoor Stadium
View Odds Details →

DUKE

BLUE DEVILSDUKE

3-0  |  Home

100
AI Model Win Probability
SYCAMORES
100%
📊
BLUE DEVILS
0%
SYCAMORES --
BLUE DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
DUKE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Duke)
SycamoresINST (-3.5) 0 Blue DevilsDUKE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sycamores Cover

5.5%

Blue Devils Cover

94.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DUKE -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DUKE)

INST By 1-7 points

4.0%

INST By 8-14 points

0.8%

DUKE By 1-7 points

13.7%

DUKE By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
72
INDIANA STATE
88
DUKE
Simulated Score
67
INDIANA STATE
85
DUKE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blue Devils Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Devils Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blue Devils (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Blue Devils (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 14, 2025 INST @ DUKE 62 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +63.3% more
Duke: 4.2 vs Indiana State: 2.6
Assists (L5) +21.5% more
Duke: 20.2 vs Indiana State: 16.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +11.7%
Duke: 40.3% vs Indiana State: 28.6%
Rebounding (L5) +10.9% more
Duke: 43.0 vs Indiana State: 38.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
INST Score 72.0 62
DUKE Score 88.0 100
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.3 / 28.6 36.0 / 30.0
Assists 20.2 / 16.6 22.0 / 14.0
Blocks 4.2 / 2.6 13.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 50.5 / 46.1 54.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 79.5 / 72.4 67.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 43.0 / 38.8 48.0 / 27.0
Steals 7.1 / 7.2 13.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 9.6 / 13.7 12.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
56%MONEY44%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
INST
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
DUKE Advantage
35-3-0 (92.1%)
Margin: 18.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
INST Advantage
17-12-1 (58.6%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
DUKE
20-18-0 (52.6%)
Margin: 18.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
INST
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7% Total +/-: -3.9
DUKE
14-24-0
O: 36.8% / U: 63.2% Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DUKE
INST
DUKE
INST
ML
71% 27-11
66% 21-11
73% 24-9
53% 17-15
ATS
79% 30-8
62% 20-12
73% 24-9
53% 17-15
TTL
47% 18-20
53% 17-15
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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