AI Model Win Probability
CHANTICLEERS
100%
GAMECOCKS
0%
CHANTICLEERS
--
GAMECOCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Jacksonville State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around JXST -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JXST)
CCU By 1-7 points
24.3%
CCU By 8-14 points
13.7%
JXST By 1-7 points
26.2%
JXST By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Coastal Carolina
63
COASTAL CAROLINA
Jacksonville State
64
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Simulated Score
Coastal Carolina
70
COASTAL CAROLINA
Jacksonville State
74
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Gamecocks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Gamecocks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Gamecocks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Gamecocks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 14, 2025
CCU @ JXST
67 - 74
Nov 17, 2024
JXST @ CCU
71 - 53
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+105.0% more
Jacksonville State: 9.4
vs
Coastal Carolina: 4.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.8%
Jacksonville State: 68.2%
vs
Coastal Carolina: 64.4%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.6%
Jacksonville State: 48.1%
vs
Coastal Carolina: 44.5%
Turnovers (L5)
+30.9% more
Coastal Carolina: 14.0
vs
Jacksonville State: 9.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CCU Score
63.0
67
JXST Score
64.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.7 / 39.1
38.0 / 21.0
Assists
15.9 / 14.9
12.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.8 / 4.4
4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
48.1 / 44.5
44.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
68.2 / 64.4
70.0 / 94.0
Rebounding
48.9 / 49.8
37.0 / 41.0
Steals
9.4 / 4.6
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.7 / 14.0
8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCU
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +0.4
JXST
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCU
Advantage
18-12-1
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +0.4
JXST
13-15-1
(46.4%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CCU
17-13-1
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: -0.6
JXST
17-11-1
O: 60.7% / U: 39.3%
Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JXST
CCU
JXST
CCU
ML
50%
16-16
41%
13-19
55%
17-14
55%
17-14
ATS
62%
20-12
38%
12-20
55%
17-14
55%
17-14
TTL
62%
20-12
75%
24-8
100%
31-0
100%
31-0