SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
BULLDOGSSCST
0-3 | Road
61
CHARLESTON
COUGARSCOFC
1-2 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
COUGARS
0%
BULLDOGS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
CHARLESTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Charleston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COFC -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COFC)
SCST By 1-7 points
8.0%
SCST By 8-14 points
2.2%
COFC By 1-7 points
20.1%
COFC By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
South Carolina State
66
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Charleston
78
CHARLESTON
Simulated Score
South Carolina State
61
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Charleston
82
CHARLESTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cougars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (+18.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 14, 2025
SCST @ COFC
61 - 88
Nov 11, 2021
SCST @ COFC
74 - 106
Dec 11, 2020
SCST @ COFC
63 - 90
Dec 21, 2019
SCST @ COFC
61 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+8.1% more
Charleston: 37.1
vs
South Carolina State: 34.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.3%
Charleston: 43.3%
vs
South Carolina State: 39.1%
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.4%
Charleston: 72.6%
vs
South Carolina State: 69.2%
Steals (L5)
+50.1% more
South Carolina State: 8.2
vs
Charleston: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SCST Score
66.0
61
COFC Score
78.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.6 / 35.1
14.0 / 44.0
Assists
13.1 / 12.4
22.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.0 / 4.3
8.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
43.3 / 39.1
52.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
72.6 / 69.2
68.0 / 44.0
Rebounding
37.1 / 34.3
44.0 / 35.0
Steals
4.1 / 8.2
8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
9.8 / 19.0
7.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SCST
10-22-0
(31.3%)
Margin: -11.7
ATS +/-: -0.9
COFC
Advantage
21-11-0
(65.6%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SCST
13-16-1
(44.8%)
Margin: -11.7
ATS +/-: -0.9
COFC
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
SCST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.6
COFC
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COFC
SCST
COFC
SCST
ML
66%
19-10
61%
19-12
62%
18-11
74%
20-7
ATS
59%
17-12
68%
21-10
62%
18-11
74%
20-7
TTL
68%
19-9-1
52%
16-15
100%
29-0
100%
27-0
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