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THE CITADEL

BULLDOGSCIT

1-2  |  Road

92
FINAL
Fri, Nov 14 • 7:00 PM ET
The Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WEST GEORGIA

WOLVESWGA

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100
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
📊
WOLVES
0%
BULLDOGS --
WOLVES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WEST GEORGIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (West Georgia)
BulldogsCIT (-3.5) 0 WolvesWGA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

46.0%

Wolves Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WGA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WGA)

CIT By 1-7 points

24.3%

CIT By 8-14 points

13.7%

WGA By 1-7 points

26.2%

WGA By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
68
THE CITADEL
69
WEST GEORGIA
Simulated Score
81
THE CITADEL
68
WEST GEORGIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wolves Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Wolves (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 14, 2025 CIT @ WGA 92 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +202.6% more
West Georgia: 5.7 vs The Citadel: 1.9
Assists (L5) +35.1% more
West Georgia: 15.7 vs The Citadel: 11.6
Turnovers (L5) +30.3% more
West Georgia: 12.9 vs The Citadel: 9.9
Steals (L5) +9.2% more
West Georgia: 6.3 vs The Citadel: 5.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CIT Score 68.0 92
WGA Score 69.0 100
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.5 / 30.3 50.0 / 38.0
Assists 15.7 / 11.6 17.0 / 20.0
Blocks 5.7 / 1.9 8.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.8 / 41.9 58.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 61.8 / 64.4 67.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 33.6 / 34.4 39.0 / 30.0
Steals 6.3 / 5.8 6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 12.9 / 9.9 9.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
46%MONEY54%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
56%MONEY44%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CIT
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
WGA Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CIT
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
WGA Advantage
21-9-0 (70.0%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CIT
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.9
WGA
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WGA
CIT
WGA
CIT
ML
58% 18-13
59% 19-13
61% 19-12
62% 20-12
ATS
71% 22-9
62% 20-12
61% 19-12
64% 21-12
TTL
55% 17-14
53% 17-15
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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