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SIU EDWARDSVILLE

COUGARSSIUE

2-1  |  Road

61
FINAL
Fri, Nov 14 • 7:30 PM ET
Knapp Center
View Odds Details →

DRAKE

BULLDOGSDRKE

2-1  |  Home

59
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
COUGARS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
130.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
DRAKE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Drake)
CougarsSIUE (-3.5) 0 BulldogsDRKE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cougars Cover

27.4%

Bulldogs Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DRKE -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DRKE)

SIUE By 1-7 points

16.9%

SIUE By 8-14 points

6.8%

DRKE By 1-7 points

26.8%

DRKE By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
62
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
68
DRAKE
Simulated Score
65
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
75
DRAKE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 14, 2025 SIUE @ DRKE 61 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +26.0% more
Drake: 5.2 vs SIU Edwardsville: 4.1
Assists (L5) +15.0% more
Drake: 13.2 vs SIU Edwardsville: 11.5
Free Throw % (L5) +11.1%
Drake: 74.3% vs SIU Edwardsville: 63.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.5%
Drake: 33.3% vs SIU Edwardsville: 28.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SIUE Score 62.0 61
DRKE Score 68.0 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.3 / 28.8 30.0 / 28.0
Assists 13.2 / 11.5 9.0 / 11.0
Blocks 5.2 / 4.1 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.1 / 42.5 38.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 74.3 / 63.2 50.0 / 56.0
Rebounding 39.5 / 42.4 37.0 / 40.0
Steals 8.5 / 9.4 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 9.3 / 14.1 8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
9%MONEY91%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
48%MONEY52%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIUE Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 6.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
DRKE
14-20-0 (41.2%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIUE Advantage
15-14-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 6.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
DRKE
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SIUE
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1% Total +/-: -4.5
DRKE
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: +3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DRKE
SIUE
DRKE
SIUE
ML
59% 20-14
65% 20-11
38% 13-21
60% 18-12
ATS
85% 29-5
55% 17-14
38% 13-21
60% 18-12
TTL
56% 19-15
48% 15-16
100% 34-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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