Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pirates @ Bears HAMP @ BRWN

HAMPTON

PIRATESHAMP

1-2  |  Road

72
FINAL
Fri, Nov 14 • 8:15 PM ET
Pizzitola Sports Center
View Odds Details →

BROWN

BEARSBRWN

0-3  |  Home

63
AI Model Win Probability
PIRATES
100%
📊
BEARS
0%
PIRATES --
BEARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
BROWN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Brown)
PiratesHAMP (-3.5) 0 BearsBRWN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pirates Cover

38.2%

Bears Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BRWN -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRWN)

HAMP By 1-7 points

21.6%

HAMP By 8-14 points

10.7%

BRWN By 1-7 points

27.2%

BRWN By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
70
HAMPTON
73
BROWN
Simulated Score
68
HAMPTON
72
BROWN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bears Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bears Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bears (-1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Bears (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o140.5 Loss
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 14, 2025 HAMP @ BRWN 72 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +6.7%
Brown: 68.5% vs Hampton: 61.8%
Steals (L5) +35.1% more
Hampton: 7.4 vs Brown: 4.8
Rebounding (L5) +12.1% more
Hampton: 37.8 vs Brown: 33.2
Blocks (L5) +11.7% more
Hampton: 4.9 vs Brown: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HAMP Score 70.0 72
BRWN Score 73.0 63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.0 / 32.8 42.0 / 15.0
Assists 15.2 / 15.0 15.0 / 10.0
Blocks 4.3 / 4.9 13.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 42.0 / 42.7 50.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 68.5 / 61.8 60.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 33.2 / 37.8 27.0 / 38.0
Steals 4.8 / 7.4 8.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 10.9 19.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
41%MONEY59%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
17%MONEY83%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HAMP Advantage
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
BRWN
9-18-0 (33.3%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HAMP Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
BRWN
14-12-0 (53.8%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
HAMP
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +1.1
BRWN
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRWN
HAMP
BRWN
HAMP
ML
56% 15-12
53% 17-15
67% 18-9
75% 24-8
ATS
59% 16-11
50% 16-16
67% 18-9
75% 24-8
TTL
59% 16-11
68% 21-10-1
100% 27-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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